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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 704

charmander6000 | Posted 5/5/2009 3:38:50 PM | message detail
I seem to have MGS4 > LBP in two days, time to stretch the numbers so it can look possible!

A SFFd LBP got 28.20% on MGS4, if Bioshock and Orange Box are equal to LBP Super Mario Galaxy is expected to get 47.14% against MGS4. Also since its release LBP has been gaining momentum.

It has a chance!
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SSBB > GTAIV Points: 81/112
Big Bob | Posted 5/5/2009 3:39:23 PM | message detail
creative thought all the Persona-fans were full of crap, so he offered a sig bet that Persona would get fourth place. I took it.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/5/2009 3:42:38 PM | message detail
SFIV's got the lead under 40. Usually every time it gets this close, Persona 4 spikes. Let's see what happens.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/5/2009 3:44:16 PM | message detail
I think SFIV would look better if it lost. I mean, if you struggle to beat P4, your reputation is permanently damaged. If you lose to it, at least you can claim it was a legitimately strong game. :p
charmander6000 | Posted 5/5/2009 3:45:43 PM | message detail
SFIV seems serious now.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SSBB > GTAIV Points: 81/112
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 5/5/2009 3:45:48 PM | message detail
You hold that third place lead P4!
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/5/2009 3:46:59 PM | message detail
Aw yeah, the Slowflake curse lives on...through this transience!
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 5/5/2009 3:47:11 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 5/5/2009 3:47:44 PM | message detail
I don't really care who makes them, the only issue I'd have is when a lesser known user makes one and a vet comes along and overrides them. Like Ulti did the other day.

Except I'm pretty sure I'm a vet too :P
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/5/2009 3:47:50 PM | message detail
EPIC MATCH BY TWO GAMES GETTING DOUBLED BY THE WEAKEST GTA GAME

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The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/5/2009 3:48:28 PM | message detail
Or perhaps... the STRONGEST GTA GAME

DUN DUN DUNNNN
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 5/5/2009 3:48:38 PM | message detail
I'm still not convinced GTAIV is the weakest.
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/5/2009 3:49:21 PM | message detail
I doubt the strongest GTA game in this bracket gets more than 55% indirectly on the weakest. They all seem to be in the same general range.
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transients | Posted 5/5/2009 3:50:16 PM | message detail
anything I can do to make P4 look worse is fine by me

I don't even hate this game!
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xyzzy
charmander6000 | Posted 5/5/2009 3:50:16 PM | message detail
I don't really care who makes them, the only issue I'd have is when a lesser known user makes one and a vet comes along and overrides them. Like Ulti did the other day.

That was number 700 and Ulti had to change the front page. Also everyone in the topic agreed that he should get to make it.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SSBB > GTAIV Points: 81/112
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/5/2009 3:50:23 PM | message detail
Either way, I'm sure SFIV would be better off losing. Seriously, if you struggle to beat Persona 4, your reputation is permanently tarnished.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 5/5/2009 3:50:47 PM | message detail
anything I can do to make P4 look worse is fine by me

I don't even hate this game!


Than why are you so against it? :(
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/5/2009 3:51:05 PM | message detail
Meh, VC>4>SA>3 seems like the safe pick. Any of them could be stronger than the others, except for VC, which is most definitely on top.

Also, whoa there SF4! It just has 19 votes left 'til it ties the match.
transients | Posted 5/5/2009 3:51:16 PM | message detail
it's fun!
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xyzzy
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/5/2009 3:52:24 PM | message detail
Actually, let's do this. Rank each of the games within each group.

GTA: SA
GTA: VC
GTAIV
GTAIII

TP
SSBB
SMG

Oblivion
ToS
WoW
Halo
KOTOR
Halo 2

Goldeneye
CoD4
HL2

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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/5/2009 3:54:43 PM | message detail
GTA: SA 3
GTA: VC 1
GTAIV 2
GTAIII 4

TP 1?
SSBB 3?
SMG 2?

Oblivion 2
ToS 4
WoW 3
Halo 1
KOTOR 5
Halo 2 6

Goldeneye 1
CoD4 3
HL2 2

Like that? The ?'s next to the second group are because I REALLY don't know how it goes and I won't be sure until I see Galaxy in action.
Mr3790 | Posted 5/5/2009 3:54:58 PM | message detail
I'll tag for later.
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 5/5/2009 3:55:47 PM | message detail
GTAVC
GTAIV
GTA: SA
GTAIII

SMG
SSBB
TP

Oblivion
Halo
WoW
KOTOR
ToS
Halo 2

Goldeneye
HL2
CoD4
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/5/2009 3:57:55 PM | message detail
Huh, P4 is stalling SF4. Wonder if it'll manage to cut P4's lead again?
ZFS | Posted 5/5/2009 3:59:16 PM | message detail
Vice City
GTAIV
San Andreas
GTAIII

Twilight Princess
Mario Galaxy
Smash Bros. Brawl

Oblivion
Halo
Tales of Symphonia
Knights of the Old Republic
World of Warcraft
Halo 2

Call of Duty 4
Goldeneye
Half-Life 2

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a metal slime appears
charmander6000 | Posted 5/5/2009 4:00:51 PM | message detail
Comeback complete.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SSBB > GTAIV Points: 81/112
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/5/2009 4:00:52 PM | message detail
a metal slime appears

*crits*

aw yeah

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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/5/2009 4:01:58 PM | message detail
a metal slime appears

*Critical hit*

YES!!!
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/5/2009 4:03:19 PM | message detail
...I pose the question, and SFIV breaks the stall. Maybe I tried starting a combo and got countered by a shoryuken?
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/5/2009 4:05:06 PM | message detail
I just remembered, it isn't the last topic anymore.

Get to work on the Stars/Turds, whoever's in charge of that!

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transients | Posted 5/5/2009 4:05:57 PM | message detail
demanding, you are!
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xyzzy
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/5/2009 4:06:12 PM | message detail
persona doesnt wanna lose
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/5/2009 4:07:27 PM | message detail
Hey, they're very entertaining. There's something especially cathartic about reading the Turd section.

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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/5/2009 4:08:16 PM | message detail
Hey, they're very entertaining. There's something especially cathartic about reading the Turd section.

Yeah. I can't wait to see them. Especially the Turd section.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/5/2009 4:08:23 PM | message detail
Hmmm...nice comeback from P4. This could be the best match for third we've ever seen, if both games keep it up.
transients | Posted 5/5/2009 4:09:06 PM | message detail
I'll probably work on it in a few days. I'm good at trashing games so you'll enjoy it.
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xyzzy
charmander6000 | Posted 5/5/2009 4:26:02 PM | message detail
Persona's ralliers are strong.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SSBB > GTAIV Points: 81/112
transients | Posted 5/5/2009 4:28:29 PM | message detail
Persona's got this.
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xyzzy
ZenOfThunder | Posted 5/5/2009 4:31:19 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/bge09/bge09-30.jpg
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/5/2009 4:32:29 PM | message detail
lol **** fighter 4

And I'm still feeling good about CoD > Galaxy tomorrow. I still have yet to see a single solid argument for Galaxy > Brawl, and unless CoD4 completely bombs, it should be able to take advantage of SFF, especially given R/B/Y and G/S
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/5/2009 4:33:36 PM | message detail
Such a good pic for TF2. The only way to make it better would have been to put the Sniper alone and give it a caption of "Boom, heashot".
Lopen | Posted 5/5/2009 4:33:50 PM | message detail
Second night vote is Street Fighter's second best block and cult RPGs don't tend to do as well with it as the first night vote. Even with rallying on P4's side this is anyone's game.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/5/2009 4:34:11 PM | message detail
i love how turtle completly ignores the fact that theres another popular online fps in the poll to SFF CoD.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/5/2009 4:34:54 PM | message detail
And I'm not exactly convinced that CoD4 is going to beat Galaxy. With the exception of HL2, shooter games have all bombed this contest.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/5/2009 4:35:45 PM | message detail

From: Fayt_Esteed | #094
And I'm not exactly convinced that CoD4 is going to beat Galaxy. With the exception of HL2, shooter games have all bombed this contest.


Don't buy into Turtles nonsense. The only match is for 2nd.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/5/2009 4:36:46 PM | message detail
Another popular FPS?

Team Fortress will be lucky to break 12%.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/5/2009 4:36:56 PM | message detail
The only match is for 2nd.

That's what I'm thinking. If Team Fortress 2's characters can manage 15% in a poll, the game itself should, right?
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/5/2009 4:39:05 PM | message detail
Let's break down the numbers. I think it's fair to say Nintendo gets about 50% total tomorrow, we'll be generous and give TF2 15%, that leaves 35% for CoD4 roughly, and probably a 30-20 split for Pokemon/Galaxy.

There's definitely room for CoD4 to take first, and even if it doesn't, Pokemon won't be a threat unless it manages to be stronger than Galaxy.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/5/2009 4:40:52 PM | message detail
I mean Turtle has had some pretty dumb predictions, but right now I can't tell if he's serious or just trolling
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/5/2009 4:42:24 PM | message detail
At this point, it looks like trolling. If Galaxy gets 50%, it's a lock for the finals, maybe even second place, and I don't see that happening.