GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 796

ExThaNemesis | Posted 1/23/2010 9:16:25 AM | message detail
This pick is solid for me, but my Vivi > Altair pick is starting to look shaky.

I still am not too worried about Zelda > Ezio, though.
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 1/23/2010 9:16:46 AM | message detail
http://img638.imageshack.us/img638/7643/zeldayellow.png http://img130.imageshack.us/img130/5276/eziored.png

eh? eh?
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 1/23/2010 9:17:10 AM | message detail

Aeris > Auron (lol Curt)


All the other picks sans the Zack > Mega Man one are reasonable, but this one is just LOL.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/23/2010 9:17:22 AM | message detail
15 minute future extrapolation:

Wish I had Dante
Kinda wish I had Soap
Kinda wish I had Kratos
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EternalxCourage | Posted 1/23/2010 9:17:53 AM | message detail
Ezio will beat Zelda, I'll bet on it.
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SpeeDDemon1343 | Posted 1/23/2010 9:18:01 AM | message detail
Yes! Go Altair!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/23/2010 9:18:03 AM | message detail
And this is further proof that Drake just flat-out sucks. Altair's crushing Liquid Snake while Drake got his ass kicked by The Boss.

Epic Duke Nukem boost! Duke > Sora, who's riding that train?

Western boost = Claptrap > Zidane BOOYAH
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Not Wylvane
Zylo the wolf | Posted 1/23/2010 9:18:13 AM | message detail
I got a feeling that the poor 51th guy with a perfect bracket do have Liquid winning, poor guy. He was so close to be on the leaderboard.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. KrahenProfit > Me
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 1/23/2010 9:18:18 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
14------84----------60.7142857
13------619--------44.2649435
12------2101------36.0780581
11------4140------35.1690821
10------5458------34.9578600
9--------5074------37.9188017
8--------3644------41.6026345
7--------2162------47.5948196
6--------1191------56.6750630
5--------578--------64.0138408
4--------253--------65.2173913
3--------112--------60.7142857
2--------39----------41.0256410
1--------31----------9.6774194
0--------82----------1.2195122

The 0s do this best this time. All of them but one knew Donkey Kong was going to lose. If most of the 1 brackets were 0 bracket attempts, they had a very high prediction percentage as well. After that it gets a bit weird. The best performers were the perfects are those with low scores. The people in between did much worse.

Guru - Vivi 92.95%
BOP - Vivi 98.53%
Overall - Vivi 39.95%

The board did very against the average bracket marker again. Today we probably won't be so lucky, though.

27 people fell off the Top 50. DeathEd, Arioch8688, 67thAndman, Zombie_Pwner, Tekkie55, newsuperdude, I_eat_tables, ShinigamiMiroku, kolin12, HaloZwrath, nimbus0770, Riomalice, Blackbarticus, yacomaniac, Dahaka66, kintexu2, 3theral, pomer77, EndOfDiscOne, Shadow_Morph, jimpalereason, ill_lo9ic, mangoman321, UltimoMan7, Syabero, gbaxton and mpalantezas though Donkey Kong could win the rematch against Vivi.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 9:18:34 AM | message detail
I'm liking Ezios chances to make it to Samus now.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/23/2010 9:18:37 AM | message detail
new games being able to cause big boosts when the character doesn't already have a lot of games.

There's the winner!

Ezio will beat Zelda, I'll bet on it.

What would you like to bet?
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AsurasKordoth | Posted 1/23/2010 9:18:38 AM | message detail
http://thengamer.com/guru/stats.php

Guru has been wrong on every ~60-40 split so far lol.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/23/2010 9:18:44 AM | message detail
Oh God, I have Liquid Snake beating Vivi

*burns bracket*
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/23/2010 9:19:04 AM | message detail
Altair is blowing out Liquid Snake pretty hard in the US and Canada. Liquid Snake is barely winning in South America and Asia and Altair is somehow winning in Europe right now.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 1/23/2010 9:19:42 AM | message detail
Altair > Vivi
Zack > Mega Man
Zack > Master Chief
Sora > Bowser
Sora > Charizard
Ezio > Zelda
Ezio > Ratchet
Ryu > Dante
Ryu > Leon (Gotta love SFIV boost.)
Aeris > Auron (lol Curt)


Interesting. Though I have my doubts about that last one...
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KrahenProphet | Posted 1/23/2010 9:19:47 AM | message detail
Prinny > Ike confirmed

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4th place in Summer Contest 2k4
GrapefruitKing | Posted 1/23/2010 9:19:57 AM | message detail
to think that 20 minutes ago, I ripped my hair off when I saw I had Altair > Vivi in my bracket
not so much now
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 43rd
Today's prediction: Liquid Snake with 50.12% Status:
MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/23/2010 9:20:26 AM | message detail
This is amazing indeed. .. how many did AC sell between last year and this year?
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 9:20:45 AM | message detail
So......

Liquid or Donkey Kong?
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
SpeeDDemon1343 | Posted 1/23/2010 9:21:07 AM | message detail
Is Zelda over Ezio a safe choice? Now I'm questioning my decision.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/23/2010 9:21:44 AM | message detail
Altair/Vivi is also a day match, so I'm giving him the advantage if he keeps this up. I would have never switched to Altair, though, so I'm not going to kick myself or anything.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 9:22:00 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #169
So......

Liquid or Donkey Kong?


I'd take Liquid any day of the week at any time.
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red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 9:22:09 AM | message detail
You know, I bet the casuals all picked Altair today. Expect 70%+ in the prediction percentage for him.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/23/2010 9:22:37 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #173
You know, I bet the casuals all picked Altair today. Expect 70%+ in the prediction percentage for him.


Yep, we're getting our butts kicked!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 9:23:02 AM | message detail
I'm not getting my butt kicked ;3
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 9:23:20 AM | message detail
Yeah, if Altair can outdo Vivi's percentage here, I'll call him the favorite next round. I think Liquid beats DK. Gotta admit I was wrong about the guy. Either that, or Liquid once again proves that he's the most inconsistent performer in contest history and Vivi wins with 55%+.

The fact that it's a day match is only gravy for Altair.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 1/23/2010 9:23:31 AM | message detail
And I am now on the leaderboard! At least until this match gets over, I guess...

...but good god, what happened Liquid? After watching your MGS kindred impress you yourself, who practically boosted the most last contest, are now failing? WTF is this? I took you to get to round 3!

I still think Zelda is in the clear against Ezio, as she is a good deal tougher than Liquid...then again, we practically haven't seen her since...ever.

2003 is just too far away.
2004 didn't have her.
2005 saw her face Snake with a horrible picture.
2006 saw her overperform on Samus
2007 saw her get LFFd by Tails and SFFd by Link
2008 saw her perform admirably well on Mario

So I still think that Link's princess is safe, but who knows?

Finally, WTF about so many DK backers. Have a lot more casuals been hitting this site or something?
HaRRicH | Posted 1/23/2010 9:23:52 AM | message detail
...okay, we the stats-geezers are probably going to get rocked this year. There are a lot of things not making sense just two divisions in and -- though we don't know exactly when or in what way yet -- there's likely been a site-shift sometime during our four-way tenure and we missed/ignored it. Our expectations are hardly standing up in most of these matches thus far.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 1/23/2010 9:24:02 AM | message detail
well considering we skipped the night vote I'm sure Liquid would have finished around 44/45% on a 24 hour match.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 1/23/2010 9:24:15 AM | message detail
Is Zelda over Ezio a safe choice? Now I'm questioning my decision.

There's no way Ezio is beating Zelda.
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vcharon | Posted 1/23/2010 9:24:28 AM | message detail
lulz

Altair, underestimated in round 1 again.
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:>
Seginustemple | Posted 1/23/2010 9:25:01 AM | message detail
I had Liquid over Vivi next round?

Well, this year's done. Can't wait for the 2012 character battle

god damnit
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LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 9:25:31 AM | message detail
Liquid's starting to stem the bleeding at least.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/23/2010 9:26:08 AM | message detail
Western boost = Total bracket devastation!

Master Chief > Mega Man, holy ****!
Altair > Kirby, oh god no!
WCC > Luigi, oh the humanity!
Claptrap > Ike, what the ****?
Arthas > Bowser, WHAAAAT
Duke > Charizard, duuuuuuuude!
Kratos > Sora, oh snap son!
Heavy > Roxas, no way!
Eddie Riggs > Jecht, what the hell's going on.
Ezio > Zelda, this ****'s off the hook!
Vault Boy > Leon, this is just getting weird.
Shepard > Pikachu, THE ****?
Marcus Fenix > Zero, OH ****.
Darth Revan > Squall, THIS CONTEST IS ****ING NUTS!
Gordon > Tifa, OH DEAR GOD.
Jak > Yoshi, will it ever stop?
Guybrush > Vincent, :O :O :O :O CONTEST CANCELED
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Not Wylvane
SpeeDDemon1343 | Posted 1/23/2010 9:26:29 AM | message detail

From: XxSoulxX | Posted: 1/23/2010 12:24:15 PM | #180
Is Zelda over Ezio a safe choice? Now I'm questioning my decision.

There's no way Ezio is beating Zelda.


k. Just checking. >_>
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/23/2010 9:26:40 AM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #178
...okay, we the stats-geezers are probably going to get rocked this year. There are a lot of things not making sense just two divisions in and -- though we don't know exactly when or in what way yet -- there's likely been a site-shift sometime during our four-way tenure and we missed/ignored it. Our expectations are hardly standing up in most of these matches thus far.


The times, they are a-changin'

I think we must have really missed the boat this year, guys :/
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Pondos | Posted 1/23/2010 9:27:12 AM | message detail
Liquid got picture-****ed.
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 1/23/2010 9:27:32 AM | message detail
Liquid! Stop whining about inferior genes! -_-

Very impressive here from Altair. Probably can beat Vivi too.

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red sox 777 | Posted 1/23/2010 9:28:00 AM | message detail
...okay, we the stats-geezers are probably going to get rocked this year. There are a lot of things not making sense just two divisions in and -- though we don't know exactly when or in what way yet -- there's likely been a site-shift sometime during our four-way tenure and we missed/ignored it. Our expectations are hardly standing up in most of these matches thus far.

I think our expectations have been standing up about as well as normal, actually. The only really big shocker to me was Alucard crushing Magus with 58%. We've seen many clues saying that Sonic Team fell hard, and this current match is only surprising because many of us either weren't willing to take Zack's 30% on Link at face value or didn't believe in AC2's boost power.
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6 years later, Crono's quest to defeat Sephiroth -- Round 1: Missingno
'Till shade is gone, 'till water is gone, into the shadow with teeth bared....
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 1/23/2010 9:28:06 AM | message detail

From: Seginustemple | #182
I had Liquid over Vivi next round?

Well, this year's done. Can't wait for the 2012 character battle

god damnit


Yeah me too. *throws bracket into vortrex of uselessness*

Why do I keep this vortex around, anyway?
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/23/2010 9:28:27 AM | message detail
I'm surprised there's so many perfects with Sephiroth winning. Cloud, Snake, even Missingno I can understand, but Sephiroth?
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 1/23/2010 9:28:31 AM | message detail
The only two matches that have really shocked me were Cecil/Knuckles and this match.
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Denzokuken | Posted 1/23/2010 9:28:54 AM | message detail
Wow, Altair is strong. I think Liquid has also dropped off since MGS-mania in 2008. Good luck Snake > Sephiroth pickers (lol)
Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/23/2010 9:29:39 AM | message detail
Cecil/Knuckles still up there on my all-time favorite matches.

If Kefka beats Arthas, the world might as well end.
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Not Wylvane
Zylo the wolf | Posted 1/23/2010 9:29:40 AM | message detail

Guybrush > Vincent


Best post I've ever seen in a stats topic.
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Denzokuken | Posted 1/23/2010 9:30:02 AM | message detail
I'm surprised there's so many perfects with Sephiroth winning. Cloud, Snake, even Missingno I can understand, but Sephiroth?

I think Sephiroth is still sort of perceived to be more popular than Cloud for some reason, even though he clearly isn't. Though it has to be said his placement in the bracket implies he got the second most amount of nominations if Link got the most.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 1/23/2010 9:30:23 AM | message detail
so much for stemming the bleeding lol
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/23/2010 9:30:57 AM | message detail

From: Zylo the wolf | #195

Guybrush > Vincent


Best post I've ever seen in a stats topic.


SoMI remake + ToMI + Western boost + Color red deboost = Guybrush doubling Vincent.

It's gonna happen, baby!
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Not Wylvane
RPGuy96 | Posted 1/23/2010 9:32:03 AM | message detail
I think our expectations have been standing up about as well as normal, actually. The only really big shocker to me was Alucard crushing Magus with 58%. We've seen many clues saying that Sonic Team fell hard, and this current match is only surprising because many of us either weren't willing to take Zack's 30% on Link at face value or didn't believe in AC2's boost power.

This match doesn't have *anything* to do with Zack. The Altair Zack faced got 19% on Link. This is very clearly a different Altair.
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vcharon | Posted 1/23/2010 9:32:24 AM | message detail
I'm feeling deja vu...

So where can Altair be perceived to be placed now? I mean he's looking pretty beastly so far, though I suppose giving the poll more time is in order but I see no way Liquid rebounds during the ASV. If anything, this should have been Liquid's peak time.
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