Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1068

#1 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/18/2013 7:15:02 PM | message detail
The match is upon us - Spyro vs. Clementine vs. Reyn-


IT'S REYN TIME!



http://www.desura.com/games/chester

http://bbg-games.com/

And now, the usual contest stuff.

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Pts: 20/20 Today's Picks: Reyn & Luigi
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#2 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 7/18/2013 7:16:02 PM | message detail
Spyro has it.
#3 | izNotPerfect | Posted 7/18/2013 7:16:43 PM | message detail
Spyro 40% incoming
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#4 | paulg235 | Posted 7/18/2013 7:21:09 PM | message detail
Let's go, Spyro! *Clap, clap, clap clap calp*
Let's go, Spyro! *Clap, clap, clap clap calp*
Let's go, Spyro! *Clap, clap, clap clap calp*
Let's go, Spyro! *Clap, clap, clap clap calp*
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#5 | AppreciateTrees | Posted 7/18/2013 7:50:49 PM | message detail
Spyro is the most recognizable, the most nostalgic, and he's a *****ing dragon. And I'll tell ya—dragons are hotter than ever right now, especially with the Game of Thrones enjoying so much success. Indeed, Spyro's flames should burn as bright as ever.

But, unfortunately, they won't. Because it's REYN TIME! And fire don't like the Reyn!!



(Also: that dumb girl isn't worth mentioning.)
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Life isn't fair, it's just fairer than death, that's all
#6 | LOLContests | Posted 7/18/2013 8:32:32 PM | message detail
In regards to comments made in the last topic about Xenoblade being stronger in Europe:

Spyro might be too, according to these Geolocation results: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3695

Spyro did really well in the U.K., coming with a percentage or two of winning (he won outright in Scotland), and he does seem to overall be much more popular in Europe than in the USA.

Walking Dead also had some good results in Europe in the last GOTY poll, but if it is more popular there, it's only by a bit.
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#7 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/18/2013 8:40:50 PM | message detail
Just quoting this from last topic...

Dilated Chemist posted...
Leonardo & Rafael in the next contest. FICTIONAL!


Something I feel like I should point out here as well and not just in a side topic: Digimon entrants are elligible for nomination (as are Medabots, if you remember that series). So which of them are we nomming next contest?
#8 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/18/2013 8:41:28 PM | message detail
Fei Fong Wong > Spyro/Clem
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Pts: 20/20 Today's Picks: Reyn & Luigi
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#9 | tgs2 | Posted 7/18/2013 8:46:29 PM | message detail
I will be depressed if Spyro finishes first.
#10 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/18/2013 8:47:15 PM | message detail
tgs2 posted...
I will be depressed if Spyro finishes first.


Seriously, who cares about Spyro. Much better dragons than him. I believe he is by far the worse dragon ever.
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Pts: 20/20 Today's Picks: Reyn & Luigi
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#11 | izNotPerfect | Posted 7/18/2013 8:47:42 PM | message detail
tgs2 posted...
I will be depressed if Spyro finishes first.

http://www.aplaceofhope.com/depression-hotline.html
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#12 | xp1337 | Posted 7/18/2013 8:48:06 PM | message detail
I've been feeling increasingly good about Spyro over the past few days. I'm now more worried that Clementine will lose to Reyn.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#13 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/18/2013 8:49:54 PM | message detail
Here is the only known trend chart for a Spyro match:

Time | Leon | Ridley | Spyro | Vivi
EBV | 37.79% | 21.13% | 8.70% | 32.38%
PHV | 39.95% | 20.72% | 8.69% | 30.63%
FNV | 40.60% | 18.52% | 8.41% | 32.48%
BSV | 38.21% | 19.99% | 10.44% | 31.36%
DSV | 40.53% | 17.86% | 9.49% | 32.12%
ASV | 39.86% | 19.10% | 11.55% | 29.48%
SNV | 42.32% | 17.95% | 9.75% | 29.98%

You can see that Spyro does worst with the first 7 hours of the match. He does well with the early morning vote, but the ASV was his best time period. I don't think Europe had anything with Spyro doing good with the early morning vote.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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#14 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/18/2013 8:54:34 PM | message detail
All right, Reyn, I'm not expecting you to win, but my bracket needs you to make it your time! Go Reyn!
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#15 | scaryice | Posted 7/18/2013 8:55:34 PM | message detail
Spyro is like a mini-Pikachu. He's somebody that people used to hate because he was "kiddie," but now there's nostalgia for him.
#16 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 7/18/2013 8:57:27 PM | message detail
Something I feel like I should point out here as well and not just in a side topic: Digimon entrants are elligible for nomination (as are Medabots, if you remember that series). So which of them are we nomming next contest?

...Huh.

I'd think Greymon or maybe Metalgreymon. Prominent in season 1, should have at least as much recognizable as anything else, and they look pretty cool.

Metabee would be the obvious nom for Medabots but I don't really think we should bother. >_>
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#17 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/18/2013 8:57:35 PM | message detail
scaryice posted...
Spyro is like a mini-Pikachu. He's somebody that people used to hate because he was "kiddie," but now there's nostalgia for him.


There is nostalgia for Pikachu... we have yet to see if there's enough for Spyro.
#18 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 7/18/2013 8:58:02 PM | message detail
Did people used to hate Spyro? I thought people just stopped caring about him.
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Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
#19 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/18/2013 8:58:51 PM | message detail
POLL UP EARLY

LMFAO SPYRO
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#20 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/18/2013 8:59:14 PM | message detail
Don't fail me Spyro, please.
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#21 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/18/2013 8:59:35 PM | message detail
Spyro>Reyn>Clementine incoming.
#22 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:27 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted






Spyro the Dragon

46.3%

25 Votes





Clementine

35.19%

19 Votes

Your Pick





Reyn

18.52%

10 Votes

Total Votes: 54
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POKEFEAR
#23 | hylianknight3 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:30 PM | message detail
Spyro the Dragon
44.44%
4 Votes
Your Pick

Clementine
22.22%
2 Votes

Reyn
33.33%
3 Votes
#24 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:30 PM | message detail
Spyro the Dragon
46.67%
14 Votes

Clementine
30%
9 Votes

Reyn
23.33%
7 Votes

LOOK AT THE TIME
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http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg
#25 | jacko_vdz | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:32 PM | message detail
Oh god Spyro
#26 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:33 PM | message detail
Time for Reyn to fail, I guess?
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Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave.
#27 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:35 PM | message detail
It's Spyro time

Spyro the Dragon
53.85%
7 Votes

Clementine
23.08%
3 Votes

Reyn
23.08%
3 Votes
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 16/18 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Morrigan
#28 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:42 PM | message detail
#29 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:45 PM | message detail
I thought Spyro's board vote would be weak. Huh.
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#30 | vcharon | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:47 PM | message detail
lol
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Still smilin'
:>
#31 | izNotPerfect | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:47 PM | message detail
Spyro cleaning up early
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#32 | Dr_Football | Posted 7/18/2013 9:00:49 PM | message detail
lolReyn
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#33 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/18/2013 9:01:08 PM | message detail
NOOOOOOO!
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Pts: 20/20 Today's Picks: Reyn & Luigi
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#34 | xp1337 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:01:26 PM | message detail
Spyro, I'm sorry my bracket did not have faith.

My Expert Challenge did though!
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#35 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:01:27 PM | message detail
So much for Lee Everett
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 16/18 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Morrigan
#36 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/18/2013 9:01:28 PM | message detail
Well then.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
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#37 | KommunistKoala | Posted 7/18/2013 9:01:32 PM | message detail
Welp there goes my perfect bracket

Oh well, my expert bracket stays on the leaderboard!
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#38 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/18/2013 9:01:36 PM | message detail
Lee Everett was supposed to beat Smash.

LOL
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#39 | Qwaar | Posted 7/18/2013 9:01:44 PM | message detail
So with this I get a perfect score for this match, but I had Clementine in my main bracket, stupidly.
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#40 | Lopen | Posted 7/18/2013 9:01:52 PM | message detail
Hahaha

lol KILL EM SPYRO

Wow
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#41 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/18/2013 9:01:58 PM | message detail
LOL Spyro with 50%

Little dragon came a long way. First win.
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Pts: 20/20 Today's Picks: Reyn & Luigi
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#42 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/18/2013 9:02:17 PM | message detail
#43 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/18/2013 9:02:27 PM | message detail
Reyn slowly gaining on Clementine now. I think he won the second minute. It was close though. Now Clementine gaining a tiny bit.
#44 | scaryice | Posted 7/18/2013 9:02:30 PM | message detail
ZeldaTPLink posted...
There is nostalgia for Pikachu... we have yet to see if there's enough for Spyro.


I see it all the time on Reddit and elsewhere. Plus, him and Crash were the most requested characters for PS All Stars. Actually, I probably shouldn't have taken Wheatley there, come to think of it.
#45 | paulg235 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:02:32 PM | message detail
Damnit, why did I change my Mr. GAW pick?
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#46 | KommunistKoala | Posted 7/18/2013 9:02:50 PM | message detail
#47 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:03:02 PM | message detail
Spyro's results pic is as if he's angrily staring at people who ever doubted him. Sorry Spyro.
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#48 | VideoboysaysCube | Posted 7/18/2013 9:03:10 PM | message detail
It's the nostalgia curve. This is Spyro's up time.
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#49 | pyresword | Posted 7/18/2013 9:03:26 PM | message detail
Allright, I'm on the expert leaderboard. Success!

But I'm off again after this match
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#50 | Qwaar | Posted 7/18/2013 9:03:30 PM | message detail
So with this I get a perfect score for this match, but I had Clementine in my main bracket, stupidly.
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