GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1080
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1365 Ten years. Best ever. One last chance at contest glory for Cloud! ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner! Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over.... |
Shaped like a clown... --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Stupid Zack, had him going to round 3. --- nt |
Well we all had.But I like that Kefka is winning. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Chance at contest glory? He's not beating Snake! --- Haman Korn! You're the source of all kernels in this world! Your time has come! -Cornille You've made a poor choice for your final popping place! -Haman Korn |
147K+ votes ;_; |
Score-Brackets-% Right 34------4------------100.00 33------43----------100.00 32------150--------98.67 31------233--------94.42 30------320--------95.00 29------469--------94.46 28------741--------95.01 27------1132------92.05 26------1524------93.57 25------1746------92.38 24------1718------91.91 23------1699------90.05 22------1370------87.30 21------1132------85.78 20------782--------81.20 19------595--------79.16 18------465--------73.12 17------334--------65.87 16------231--------60.17 15------170--------44.71 14------118--------55.08 13------71----------49.30 12------67----------32.84 11------41----------31.71 10------27----------14.81 9--------13----------23.08 8--------11----------9.09 7--------6------------16.67 6--------5------------20.00 5--------2------------0.00 4--------3------------0.00 3--------18----------0.00 2--------2------------0.00 1--------6------------0.00 0--------6------------0.00 An easy match yesterday. Only two people in the top 197 get the match wrong. The middle tiers also clear 90 in terms of prediction percentage. No one fell off the Top 49. --- Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place |
Still perfect, y'all. Top dawg incoming. --- If you believe in Jesus Christ and are 100% proud, put this in your sig. Steam ID: hookd_on_foniks | I play lots of TF2 when I have nothing to do... |
izNotPerfect posted... Still perfect, y'all. What are your picks coming up? --- "When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet." |
a
reminder that Pikachu and Charizard are Cloud's best possible friends
to help him win a second ring. i don't know why but this really amuses
me. ...and I'm starting to worry he's doomed against Snake even if he gets the rat there to help-him-by-not-hurting-him. i would think he would have a smaller decline than the rest of FF7, but...jesus they all look awful --- Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham We'll get 'em next year. |
You picked Kefka? I respect that. --- Haman Korn! You're the source of all kernels in this world! Your time has come! -Cornille You've made a poor choice for your final popping place! -Haman Korn |
Achromatic posted... izNotPerfect posted...Still perfect, y'all. Cloud Frog Sly Dante Squirtle Ridley (I know, BOLD ASS pick) Shadow Leon Gordon Freeman Oh hell, here's my bracket: http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/cb9_code?c=5vsjNOBg0CXr5fTrrlDF2DOPX3tFHpC4NF |
Okay well I think Lugia makes you dead in the water but we'll see. --- "When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet." |
I wanna know what Moron thought that was a good idea to remove the bars for results. --- http://s19.postimage.org/aosug5mrn/Persona4.png |
Team Rocket Elite posted... Score-Brackets-% Right How do you get to the page that shows the score distribution like this? It's probably obvious but I couldn't figure it out >> --- -Merc |
Prinny>Armstrong? |
I can't wait to see the first 10-30mins of tonight's match. Prinny might look great for a minute or two! --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
All Hail KefkaFAQs --- "In fact, I should just play good games from now on... Man, F*** THAT, let's play some s***ty ones!" - Angry Video Game Nerd |
yeah this result destroyed me --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
Man,
I feel so smart for picking Kefka today. I knew FF fans wouldn't take a
minor character like Zack over him, stats be damned. I wouldn't say
that means FF7 is super weak, though, just Zack. This is one of those
picks where if you didn't know anything about contests, you'd say of
course it makes sense that Kefka > Zack. |
Kefka still having some great updates. --- Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham We'll get 'em next year. |
Sly Cooper? LOL. If you're still perfect after that INP, you deserve to win the contest. . |
Masato_Tanaka posted... How many perfects are we gonna lose after today? I'm going to be bold and say "all of them" because, wow, I was absolutely not expecting this upset to happen. --- In Oz; cruel is the usual punishment. |
AsurasKordoth posted... Team Rocket Elite posted...Score-Brackets-% Right There isn't one. I make the chart myself using the data points from the graph. --- Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place |
ffmasterjose posted... Sly Cooper? LOL. I'm more worried about Crono beating Pikachu in that bracket... --- Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690 http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png |
would Cloud getting 70% next match stop the 'FF7 is weak' talk? |
White_Tiger posted... would Cloud getting 70% next match stop the 'FF7 is weak' talk? it would just be FF7 except Cloud is weak --- Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username. |
Link got 72% and he is much stronger than Cloud.So that can't happen. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Well
probably gonna drop out of the Top Ten in the Expert board after losing
4 points. Sucks too because I was perfect otherwise in this division
:( --- http://i.imgur.com/97Pxu.gif http://i.imgur.com/DOF4PCH.gif |
Safer_777 posted... Link got 72% and he is much stronger than Cloud.So that can't happen. Cloud to break 75% confirmed |
FF7
being weak would make some sense for a few reasons. Remember back in
2002 when we similarly had ass vote totals FF7 looked pretty bad
relative to later years. People like to attribute it to KH but what if
it was mostly just a result of the size of the voterbase increasing? As
this site became more mainstream the more casual RPG characters got
stronger. Just something to think about. (Cloud would probably need 75% to put that talk to rest-- he's got trash fodder to beat up) --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I
could see Cloud getting 70% if only because he's up against a Disgaea
character and an unknown (in strength) MGS related character. I could
also see him being below 70% though because of anti-voting and FF7
characters looking pretty bad this year so hell Prinny could crack
23-25% with Armstrong at another 15-25% for all I know >_> --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
Just something to think about. (Cloud would probably need 75% to put that talk to rest-- he's got trash fodder to beat up) 75% is unrealistic. Cloud's opponents are not much weaker than Link's , I would take Prinny>Isaac(Binding) easily , and Tingle probably beats Sen. Steven Armstrong but not by much. If Link managed only 72% Cloud getting 70% would be amazing, I am thinking Cloud gets around 64-65% --- ... |
I'm not saying 75% is
realistic I'm just saying I don't think Cloud getting anything less
would stop the FF7 is weak talk. It's just a match against fodders that
doesn't really mean much. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Cloud
can't do much better than 60% in any match. A third of voters will
literally vote for anyone else on the site over Cloud and Sephiroth, and
antivoting alone should keep him below Link levels. --- Hey I just met you, and this is crazy, but you have died of dysentery. |
Zack
losing handily means bad things. No one's gonna beat Link legit again,
and the one guy that actually has beaten him people anti-vote into the
ground under some perceived notion he always wins. Ah well... it's nice
to see KEFKA of all people surprise and overperform, but still. --- Still smilin' :> |
Lopen posted... I'm not saying 75% is realistic I'm just saying I don't think Cloud getting anything less would stop the FF7 is weak talk. It's just a match against fodders that doesn't really mean much. Cloud will be lucky to break 60%, same as Sephiroth's struggles. It won't matter how much of fodder Armstrong and Prinny are unfortunately. --- Still smilin' :> |
I'd
take Snake's R1 competition over Link's any day (particularly when you
consider that Tingle was heavily SFFed), and he got about the same
percentage as Link. Of course, you're talking about antivotes there, which Cloud is going to have to deal with, but it's not impossible. Also Snake is going to win so there's that too~ --- sig |
The only chance of Link losing is Draven with a dedicated rally, and I'd rather just see Link win than that. --- Still smilin' :> |
Karma Hunter posted... I'd take Snake's R1 competition over Link's any day (particularly when you consider that Tingle was heavily SFFed), and he got about the same percentage as Link. no he won't he'll lose in the semis to Pikachu |
well I lost 3 points off this match --- https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BMcwhStCYAAr-mC.jpg Dallas Cowboys and Mavs |
This
is a glorious day; Kefka has finally performed to a level expected of
him 10 years ago, when most had given up hope in his performance. His
trollishness and jestering has transcended FF6 and has now entered
GameFAQs contest lore. The son of a submariner truly HATE HATE HATE
HATE HATE HATE HATE HATEs all of the gurus of Board 8. --- I pwn you all! |
Lopen posted... FF7 being weak would make some sense for a few reasons. Remember back in 2002 when we similarly had ass vote totals FF7 looked pretty bad relative to later years. People like to attribute it to KH but what if it was mostly just a result of the size of the voterbase increasing? As this site became more mainstream the more casual RPG characters got stronger. Hey, I like this theory. Hopefully it pans out. It would actually make most of FFVII's performances look a lot better! In addition to the current match, Hero not being junk and KOS-MOS being a respectable midcarder would mean good things for Aeris and Vincent. Barret can be blamed on him being a newcomer that was expected to be the weakest not-Zolom FFVII character anyways, and...uh, well, lol Sephiroth. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Match XXXVII: (1) Cloud Strife vs. (18) Senator Steven Armstrong vs. (27) Prinny Previous Contest Cloud Strife – 2010 71.72% against Ridley 71.99% against Chris Redfield 69.93% against Captain Falcon 65.98% against Ryu 52.81% against Samus Aran 52.09% against Solid Snake 46.46% against Link Senator Steven Armstrong – N/A N/A Prinny – 2010 37.51% against Ike Analysis Cloud Strife is considered to be the other character with a decent chance at upsetting Link in the finals due to Nintendo split, but the performances of the other characters in his game has left the board unimpressed. Regardless Cloud is still one of the strongest characters in this bracket and should have no issue scoring a large blowout win in this match. The fight for second could be interesting. Since 2010 Prinny has made appearances in Disgaea and his own game and now that Ike’s stats have been more formally recognized he does have some strength. I am not sure why as Laharl is not the strongest of characters and you would think Prinny would be weaker than he is. There is the possibility that he over performed in 2010, but he did look pretty good in the 27 seed poll, not that the poll should be taken seriously. While it is no Metal Gear Solid, Metal Gear Rising has been one of the more popular games released this year. I do not see Armstrong having much strength, mostly because other Metal Gear villains are not very impressive and they are from much more popular games. He also does not have those crazy, over the top personalities that we are so used to seeing. The main reason I am taking Prinny over Armstrong is the picture, being a guy in a suit just does not draw in the voters. As badly as Final Fantasy VII has been performing Cloud should be able to break 60%, his opponents should be weaker than Sephiroth’s and he got close enough to 60%. charmander6000’s Bracket: Cloud Strife > Prinny and Senator Steven Armstrong charmander6000’s Prediction: Cloud Strife – 60.66%, Prinny – 21.25%, Senator Steven Armstrong – 18.09% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 29/34 Today's Picks: Lara Croft and Ryu H. |
I'm considering the possibility that we could see all of FFVII's cast tanking except Cloud because he's the face of the game. --- Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave. |
If people hate FF7 now Cloud should have the worst of it because he is the face of the game |
Kefka WON?! Christ, that guy makes absolutely no sense. --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Main_Page, Rest in peace Kazbar :( |
You
have to assume that Zack and Kefka are hurting each other, if only very
slightly. In which case, Kefka is doing about as well on Ryu Hayabusa
as he did on Arthas in 2010. Legendary troll. --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
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