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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1096
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LinkMarioSamus posted... Auron is projected to get 62% on Ocelot according to the 2010 x-stats, but currently he only has 57%. I take it this is supposed to be yet another underperformance for post-SNES Final Fantasy? While I don't buy the LFF between Auron and Roxas to be that significant, it's entirely possible for Ocelot to be stronger here. Also don't take x-stats too seriously. --- Zinsanity of the Helix Board |
And Lightning isn't on watch for anything. She's not losing to DK with Falco in the match, and she's not beating Zelda/Charizard. --- http://i.imgur.com/M7vKB.gif |
ZinsanityCraze posted... LinkMarioSamus posted...Auron is projected to get 62% on Ocelot according to the 2010 x-stats, but currently he only has 57%. I take it this is supposed to be yet another underperformance for post-SNES Final Fantasy? To be honest, I was kinda worried when I saw that Auron was failing to break 60% on Ocelot. I only checked the x-stats just to get some more info on the situation. I think most of us were expecting Auron to do better than 62% on Ocelot though. Out of curiosity, what does Nathan Drake get on Auron assuming that Pac-Man and Ocelot have been consistent since 2005 (yeah I know there's pretty much a 0% chance of that, but still)? --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
LinkMarioSamus posted... Out of curiosity, what does Nathan Drake get on Auron assuming that Pac-Man and Ocelot have been consistent since 2005 (yeah I know there's pretty much a 0% chance of that, but still)? If you know this is literally meaningless, why ask? --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
5% is nothing to get crazy about |
Chart from the day match: Time | Ezio | Tails | Bomber | Votes 0:05 | 38.41% | 46.36% | 15.23% | 151 1:00 | 44.98% | 32.29% | 22.73% | 4642 2:00 | 45.48% | 31.39% | 23.13% | 3654 3:00 | 46.21% | 31.51% | 22.28% | 3075 4:00 | 46.84% | 30.32% | 22.84% | 2658 5:00 | 44.37% | 31.42% | 24.21% | 2495 6:00 | 44.09% | 30.67% | 25.24% | 2504 7:00 | 43.99% | 31.76% | 24.25% | 2264 8:00 | 45.84% | 32.35% | 21.82% | 1994 9:00 | 45.78% | 29.85% | 24.37% | 1896 10:00 | 46.67% | 30.76% | 22.58% | 1785 11:00 | 46.19% | 30.15% | 23.67% | 1652 12:00 | 46.99% | 29.67% | 23.34% | 1547 Other than the board vote, this is a pretty stable match across the board. X-Stats: Ezio Auditore da Firenze – 50.00% Miles “Tails” Prower – 40.67% Bomberman – 33.86% Ezio's prediction percentage was 68.15% --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Nanis23 posted... 5% is nothing to get crazy about Yeah but from the looks of it, most of us expected Auron to do way better than that. It also fits in with FFVII and FFVIII consistently failing to meet expectations so far. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
seriously do you know how to read --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Hey Kotetsu why did you closed your topic?You decided to post here like Charmander? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Safer_777 posted... Hey Kotetsu why did you closed your topic?You decided to post here like Charmander? Yep. --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
Dang. I was tracking your predictions topic. Now it's going to be harder to find your posts since these topics move so quickly. --- Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690 http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png |
Someone predicted this match would go 60/40 for both characters,so I don't see why you think this is underperformance Btw,not good in math but I think 44.44 33.33 22.22% means that each character does indeed 60/40 the other,no? |
Auron
is currently getting 57.5% on Ocelot. A little bit of Square LFF plus
Ocelot possibly being stronger, this performance is okay, certainly not
impressive or bad by any means. --- Zinsanity of the Helix Board |
Nanis23 posted... Someone predicted this match would go 60/40 for both characters,so I don't see why you think this is underperformance No. 33.33 to 22.22 is 60/40 but 44.44/33.33 is more like 57-43. You can quickly find 1-1 percentages on the following web page: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=5201&num=3 It doesn't show the percentage between the second and third character though. (For character 1 to 60-40 character 2 and character 2 to 60-40 character 3 the percentages would be 47,37% - 31,58% - 21,05%) --- Hail Solid Snake, our CBIX champion! |
A
lot of people are talking about Teemo's status in the LoL community but
they're forgetting that these rallied people aren't like those from /v/
or smashboards or wherever, a lot of those rallied LoL voters are
non-gamers. People who literally would have never heard of Persona or
Jak & Daxter, that's the kind of people who play Mobas and MMOs. A rally for a polarised character wouldn't necessarily detract into a "well I'm going to vote for the other guys because I like them more" kind of thing since they probably have no attachment to the others and it could be viewed in "a vote for teemo is a vote for LoL" kind of mindset. The fanbase is also quite young so could be attracted to notion of "my group of people getting one over on this other group". I don't really accept that these people would let LoL drown for contest integrity in a field that they mostly don't care the slightest about. --- Smurf, the cream of Sonic Fanboyism. |
For
some of the Final Fantasy performances this contest, I think there was
always a juvenile sort of attraction to a lot of the masculine/tough
guy/brooding/edgy (the kind of characteristics insecure male teens
thrive on) characters on gamefaqs that people are probably growing out
of at this stage and seeing them more for their true worth. Sephiroth,
Auron and Zack especially should never really have been at the levels
they were at under mature inspection and if people are justifying it as a
new square decline (apart from zidane because he's old square or
something) or a dissidia boost for old characters halting the decline
(new square boosting old square despite new square being in decline!) I
think they're going to be very confused when Tidus performs well. --- Smurf, the cream of Sonic Fanboyism. |
I'm not entirely sure what you're even saying but if it means Squall's going to be okay I'll take it --- http://images.cheezburger.com/completestore/2011/8/22/2094c2de-bae8-4f5b-9f27-67eaff0aaeaf.jpg |
You are not supposed to be hardcore gamer to vote for X or Ryu There is a clear difference between Jak and X and Street Figher and Persona |
--Smurf-- posted... For some of the Final Fantasy performances this contest, I think there was always a juvenile sort of attraction to a lot of the masculine/tough guy/brooding/edgy (the kind of characteristics insecure male teens thrive on) characters on gamefaqs that people are probably growing out of at this stage and seeing them more for their true worth. Sephiroth, Auron and Zack especially should never really have been at the levels they were at under mature inspection and if people are justifying it as a new square decline (apart from zidane because he's old square or something) or a dissidia boost for old characters halting the decline (new square boosting old square despite new square being in decline!) I think they're going to be very confused when Tidus performs well. This is probably the worst post you have ever made. --- Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner! Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over.... |
--Smurf-- posted... For some of the Final Fantasy performances this contest, I think there was always a juvenile sort of attraction to a lot of the masculine/tough guy/brooding/edgy (the kind of characteristics insecure male teens thrive on) characters on gamefaqs that people are probably growing out of at this stage and seeing them more for their true worth. Sephiroth, Auron and Zack especially should never really have been at the levels they were at under mature inspection and if people are justifying it as a new square decline (apart from zidane because he's old square or something) or a dissidia boost for old characters halting the decline (new square boosting old square despite new square being in decline!) I think they're going to be very confused when Tidus performs well. This is patently false. Sephiroth was massive back in the day, not just on gameFAQs. The games are just aging, that's it. Cloud Strife in FFVII isn't really brooding/edgy at all either, and he's dropping harder than the Greek economy. --- Hail Solid Snake, our CBIX champion! |
Denzokuken posted... --Smurf-- posted...For some of the Final Fantasy performances this contest, I think there was always a juvenile sort of attraction to a lot of the masculine/tough guy/brooding/edgy (the kind of characteristics insecure male teens thrive on) characters on gamefaqs that people are probably growing out of at this stage and seeing them more for their true worth. Sephiroth, Auron and Zack especially should never really have been at the levels they were at under mature inspection and if people are justifying it as a new square decline (apart from zidane because he's old square or something) or a dissidia boost for old characters halting the decline (new square boosting old square despite new square being in decline!) I think they're going to be very confused when Tidus performs well. What will be your explanation of a strong Tidus performance then? --- Smurf, the cream of Sonic Fanboyism. |
I think we'll probably need to wait to see the actual strong Tidus performance first before we come up with explanations for it. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
The explanation is going to be "Missingno pulled about the same % on Yoshi, Crono, and Sephiroth". --- ~War~ |
We'll
see if/when it happens. If Tidus performs well and Squall sucks then
I'll declare that the best and most prescient post ever made in the
stats topic... until then, I think it was just crazy!! --- Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner! Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over.... |
Swarles_Barkley posted... --Smurf-- posted...For some of the Final Fantasy performances this contest, I think there was always a juvenile sort of attraction to a lot of the masculine/tough guy/brooding/edgy (the kind of characteristics insecure male teens thrive on) characters on gamefaqs that people are probably growing out of at this stage and seeing them more for their true worth. Sephiroth, Auron and Zack especially should never really have been at the levels they were at under mature inspection and if people are justifying it as a new square decline (apart from zidane because he's old square or something) or a dissidia boost for old characters halting the decline (new square boosting old square despite new square being in decline!) I think they're going to be very confused when Tidus performs well. The 3rd most popular character in gaming? That's absolutely ridiculous, he never had that sort of stock anywhere. Cloud was considered masculine and "badass" all the same, Tidus and Zidane were not. --- Smurf, the cream of Sonic Fanboyism. |
Tidus
beating Missingno would take out two birds with one stone. Missingno
doesn't beat my favorite characters, and it guarantees Squall advances
past round 2 (No, Amaterasu won't be strong enough to take advantage of a
75/25 LFF split). --- http://i.imgur.com/M7vKB.gif |
Cloud was considered masculine? Since when? --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Denzokuken posted... We'll see if/when it happens. If Tidus performs well and Squall sucks then I'll declare that the best and most prescient post ever made in the stats topic... until then, I think it was just crazy!! I'll eagerly await the acknowledgement :P --- Smurf, the cream of Sonic Fanboyism. |
Cloud was considered masculine and "badass" all the same, Tidus and Zidane were not. By nature, sort of, maybe childish. Physically LOL no, he looks wimpy if you ask me. --- Those pearls do look better on you than they did in my safe, but I still can't let you keep them. |
--Smurf-- posted... Denzokuken posted...--Smurf-- posted...For some of the Final Fantasy performances this contest, I think there was always a juvenile sort of attraction to a lot of the masculine/tough guy/brooding/edgy (the kind of characteristics insecure male teens thrive on) characters on gamefaqs that people are probably growing out of at this stage and seeing them more for their true worth. Sephiroth, Auron and Zack especially should never really have been at the levels they were at under mature inspection and if people are justifying it as a new square decline (apart from zidane because he's old square or something) or a dissidia boost for old characters halting the decline (new square boosting old square despite new square being in decline!) I think they're going to be very confused when Tidus performs well. It doesn't really matter. There' so much wrong with your post that that explanation is the last one I would look for. I mean really, Zack a tough guy / brooding / edgy? No. --- Hail Solid Snake, our CBIX champion! |
--Smurf-- posted... Swarles_Barkley posted...--Smurf-- posted...For some of the Final Fantasy performances this contest, I think there was always a juvenile sort of attraction to a lot of the masculine/tough guy/brooding/edgy (the kind of characteristics insecure male teens thrive on) characters on gamefaqs that people are probably growing out of at this stage and seeing them more for their true worth. Sephiroth, Auron and Zack especially should never really have been at the levels they were at under mature inspection and if people are justifying it as a new square decline (apart from zidane because he's old square or something) or a dissidia boost for old characters halting the decline (new square boosting old square despite new square being in decline!) I think they're going to be very confused when Tidus performs well. I never said he was the 3rd most popular character in gaming. I just said he was a way bigger deal then than he is now, both on gameFAQs and outside of it. --- Hail Solid Snake, our CBIX champion! |
Hey I live in Greece!Not that it matters. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
In
fact, the only reason those characters are still so popular here, which
is actually amazing in a broader context, is precisely because
the gameFAQs audience is so old. Every year the FFVII cast gets weaker,
because there's a new batch of voters that doesn't know who the ****
they are. Basically, your reasoning is precisely the opposite of what is
happening. --- Hail Solid Snake, our CBIX champion! |
Which doesn't explain the FFVI boost, but is still way more logical. --- Hail Solid Snake, our CBIX champion! |
How
can people not know who they are when there were 2 games in the
previous generation and 2 in this generation and another 1 that will be
in next generation that features them?That doesn't make sense. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Match LX: (8) L-Block vs. (11) Teemo vs. (20) Palutena Previous Contest L-Block – 2010 63.89% against HK-47 60.48% against Isaac 39.39% against Charizard Teemo – N/A N/A Palutena – N/A N/A Analysis Pre-contest this match had no debate, but look at what a rally can do. L-Block is back in a more preferred environment. With needing fewer votes in order to look decent in multi-option polls L-Block can use joke votes to look better than what it did in 1v1. Of course that does not mean L-Block is going to win the contest, we already saw what happened in 2008 and with the joke getting even older I do not see it having that kind of power, still it will likely have decent strength. I suspect Palutena not to have much strength, while her appearance in Uprising makes her more than a cameo in Brawl to most people that will probably not enough to push her above being weak fodder. Hades was crushed quite badly against Gordon Freeman and he at least could use other modes of media to help him, not that I think it helped him much. I feel she should finish above Hades based on their roles within the games, but that is not exactly saying much. This match will give us some insight on whether League of Legends is going to be a force in this contest or if the rally was a one-time thing. Draven went from getting doubled by Jak to easily winning the match getting, by my estimate 9500-10000 net rallied votes and that was with them letting up at the end. While it is true L-Block and Palutena are likely stronger than Jak and Chie it does not matter too much in rallied situations. If the fans are rabid enough they are going to vote for him no matter what, it’s the same reason why L-Block kept getting roughly 28-30% of the vote despite getting progressively stronger opponents. The only issue is Teemo is not as well liked compared with Draven and is in fact hated by some of the fans. Still I expect a rally to occur and if those fans truly hate Teemo we will still see an increase in vote totals, just that they will be anti-votes. L-Block does have the added advantage that Palutena will be more of a non-factor meaning Teemo would have the rally more than Draven in order to get a higher percentage. Should no rally occur I would not be surprised to see Teemo finish in last based on Draven’s start. charmander6000’s Bracket: L-Block > Palutena and Teemo charmander6000’s Prediction: Teemo – 44.36%, L-Block – 42.52%, Palutena – 13.12% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 46/58 Today's Picks: Auron and L-Block |
Okay
I made a mistake.I mean that Cloud and Sephiroth are in Kingdom Hearts 1
2 and 3 obviously.Also in Dissidia 1 and Dissidia 2.So how can some
people still don't know them? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
None of those games really appeal to a modern gaming audience. Back in its day, Kingdom Hearts did. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
Safer_777 posted... How can people not know who they are when there were 2 games in the previous generation and 2 in this generation and another 1 that will be in next generation that features them?That doesn't make sense. Well they'll probably know who they are, but does that in itself make you vote for a character? They'll be much more likely to have never played FFVII than the older voters. --- Hail Solid Snake, our CBIX champion! |
random predix: L-Block does really, really well today. --- Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham We'll get 'em next year. |
L-Block
will crush this poll if Teemo doesn't get a rally. He's not on 2007
levels, but unrallied Teemo won't be much better than unrallied Draven,
and Palutena will be as weak as a Nintendo character gets. --- http://i.imgur.com/eqOQs.gif |
Ahem, I'd take Palutena to crush uh uh... Hades. --- ~War~ |
Teemo
isn't going to win, take it from a LoL addict, Teemo has a hate-base
just as massive as his fans and will do everything in their power to
ensure he does not win. L-block as got this. --- @w@ Gamertag: SliceSabre |
charmander6000’s Prediction: Teemo – 44.36%, L-Block – 42.52%, Palutena – 13.12% Oh awesome. Feels like we're the only goddamn 2 people on this entire board who have this in Expert challenge. --- Those pearls do look better on you than they did in my safe, but I still can't let you keep them. |
--Smurf-- posted... The fanbase is also quite young so could be attracted to notion of "my group of people getting one over on this other group". I don't really accept that these people would let LoL drown for contest integrity in a field that they mostly don't care the slightest about. I'd like to point out that this applies to Minecraft more than anything; this is exactly why I took Creeper into Round 3. --- ~http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/229-music-top-40/62258145~ http://i.imgur.com/FAsBe5D.gif |
Squirrelgate posted... --Smurf-- posted...The fanbase is also quite young so could be attracted to notion of "my group of people getting one over on this other group". I don't really accept that these people would let LoL drown for contest integrity in a field that they mostly don't care the slightest about. Good luck. --- I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you... LOL Nope. |
Too bad that you LOL fans don't make a rally.That would be awesome. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Safer_777 posted... Too bad that you LOL fans don't make a rally.That would be awesome. Who plays LoL here :3 --- I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you... LOL Nope. |
Palutena
is probably going to be Teemo's biggest adversary in this thing.
Unlike Jak/Chie and the upcoming X/Ryu match, we have a vote sink in
Palutena which means that Teemo is going to probably need to be much
closer to the majority of the votes to beat L-Block --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! The artist formerly known as greatone10. |
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