GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1107
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Corvo vs Sissel for 2nd, yay more fodder fights! |
Shadow 2007: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/2869 37.8% on Auron. Wario 2008: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3244 42.6% on Zack. Probably around 40% 1-on-1? Then we also have SFF comparisons against 2008 Link http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3245 Shadow got 20.3% on Link. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3276 Wario got 16.6% on Link. You'd think Wario would get SFFed more. Plus Wario might have been Last Place Factored while Shadow wasn't too far from Zidane. And I would think that even IF Wario has dropped since then (which he might not have) Shadow has dropped more. At this point, Wario is in contention for getting revenge for that 65% result Shadow got on him in 2003. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Shadow dropping is the more likely case. I don't think Wario has much reason to drop or rise. He'll probably always be around the same strength. --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
_SecretSquirrel posted... It's amazing. We all thought Touhou was too niche and unknown to bring anything to the table in these contests, but it turns out they were quite influential in one of the closest matches of all time. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uv6yK47m564 --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Who did Missile beat again? Don't see why you guys expect anything out of Dishonored --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
Sorozone posted... Shadow dropping is the more likely case. Yeah, Shadow just sucks now. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! The artist formerly known as greatone10. |
pjbasis posted... Who did Missile beat again? More people on this planet voted for Chester than played Ghost Trick --- Drop it to the floor... |
Match LXXI: (4) Pokemon Trainer Red vs. (15) Corvo Attano vs. (24) Sissel Previous Contest Pokemon Trainer Red – 2010 50.16% against Revolver Ocelot 38.84% against Mega Man X Corvo Attano – N/A N/A Sissel – N/A N/A Analysis I have always felt that Red would perform better using a Pokemon picture rather than his Super Smash Bros. Brawl picture. After seeing Blue almost beat Fox and Wolf combined I feel more confident about that prediction, but should the Ocelot that we saw earlier this round be the same one Red went up against in 2010 the boost may not be very big. Sadly we will not know how much the picture factor helps given the characters. I have no idea who takes second in this match. Corvo is the main character of Dishonored, but I feel that is the type of game people on GameFAQs do not play. I would give the picture advantage to Corvo as he looks cooler while Sissel is a guy in a suit. However, Sissel is animated, including crazy hair style which GameFAQs may like. Sissel is the main character of Ghost Trick, which we already had a character perform from. Even ignoring Missile’s beginning he was essentially equal with Kerrigan which may not sound like much, but it was more than what I gave him credit for. Sissel should be stronger than Missile which should make Sissel the favourite, but I do wonder how much of a factor the picture had on Missile’s strength. From my experience when given an option of two weak characters the eastern character is the safe bet. I do not have much confidence in Sissel, but if he is stronger than Missile he should win. With that said Pokemon Trainer Red could be reaching a high percentage. I feel he could finish in the low to mid 60s with this type of competition. charmander6000’s Bracket: Pokemon Trainer Red > Sissel and Corvo Attano charmander6000’s Prediction: Pokemon Trainer Red – 62.27%, Sissel – 20.94%, Corvo Attano – 16.79% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 55/68 Today's Picks: Missingno and Wario |
kinsho3 posted... pjbasis posted...Who did Missile beat again? Link vs Chester for round 1 of CBX should be a good measure of how many people anti-vote Link |
Ugh,
Corvo vs. Sissel is giving me so many fits right now. I don't think
Sissel is going to be Missile level, but Corvo isn't exactly Kerrigan
here. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! The artist formerly known as greatone10. |
did a very late really for Creeper just start somewhere? --- "L-Block 2007 Character Battle Champion"Always remember "L-Block, shaped like a boot to kick your ass" |
That must be one terrible rally if he can't even extend his lead over King of all Cosmos --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
If anything KoAC is the one rallying (or just going with the match's trends) --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 55/68 Today's Picks: Missingno and Wario |
I
don't know what to make of Corvo vs. Sissel. I would like to think that
"generic 'badass' guy with a mask and sword from a modern Western
action game" Corvo would be weak enough that "character from super
obscure handheld game that has no more than a tiny cult fanbase" Sissel
would be able to keep it close. But I'm not sure. --- http://img10.imageshack.us/img10/646/15ea3o0.png |
Karma Hunter posted... Banjo having less than 1% of the vote in Indonesia is... well, not really feasible. I would assume the Geolocation stuff is pre-stuffing screening, which also explains s*** like Ghana and Mongolia and the Sudan and what have you. There's nothing suspicious about Indonesia. The percentages for Indonesia suggest there were 126 votes from that country. That's normal for a night match. And for comparison, Squall's match had 120 votes from Indonesia. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
I'm
looking at the match picture, and despite being against two animated
characters and being in the middle, Corvo just doesn't stand out to me
at all. My eye automatically goes to the right and Sissel's blond hair
and red suit. It's not Missile level standout, but it still doesn't
inspire confidence in Corvo. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! The artist formerly known as greatone10. |
link to the match picture, anyone? |
http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/cbnine/battle/5213.jpg --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! The artist formerly known as greatone10. |
-LusterSoldier- posted... Karma Hunter posted...Banjo having less than 1% of the vote in Indonesia is... well, not really feasible. I would assume the Geolocation stuff is pre-stuffing screening, which also explains s*** like Ghana and Mongolia and the Sudan and what have you. I thought the sub-1% was suspicious! It is possible though and doesn't indicate stuffing by itself. Only managing 1 vote in 126... that's Chester level stuff right there! I thought Banjo was better than that! but i guess not. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
This
Sunday, we will have our first bonus match of the contest. That means
this board has to come up with some kind of idea for the bonus match,
because I don't think you want Bacon to run some boring poll that isn't a
match. Ideally, we need to agree on a bonus match before the end of
this week so the pic smiths have enough time to create match pictures. So far, here are the current suggestions that I have seen mentioned in previous stats topics or on other topics from the board: Link/Chester/Tanner - Just to see if Link can theoretically put up the same performance on Chester that is predicted by the final x-stats. Sephiroth/Chester/Tanner - This is a match to test out the anti-voting factor here, to see if there is a minimum number of voters that are going to anti-vote Sephiroth in every single match he has. Obviously those anti-voting Sephiroth are unlikely to vote for one of the other 2 characters if they don't know who they are, so these voters will choose not to vote in this match. Dark Link/Dark Samus/Shadow Mario - Since all 3 of these characters wouldn't have been allowed in the Character Battle. But it's a terrible idea as we want to see how strong Dark Link is and this match has no established characters to compare Dark Link to. Dark Link/Near Elite/High Midcarder - The other 2 characters could be something like Vincent Valentine and Zero. This is a good match to test Dark Link's strength, as he could probably be close to Near Elite if he has even a fraction of Link's strength. A match involving 3 characters that surprised us by not getting into the contest - For this match, we could have something like Liquid Snake, Chris Redfield, and Jecht in a match. You could substitute any of those characters for something else if you wanted to. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
-LusterSoldier- posted... Link/Chester/Tanner - Just to see if Link can theoretically put up the same performance on Chester that is predicted by the final x-stats. Anti-votes alone would prevent this. I have no doubt Chester (and Tanner) would have their values go up from this match. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
I personally vote to remove both bonus matches from round 1 and round 2 make this contest 1 day shorter! |
I'd substitute Chris Redfield for Ken --- Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username. |
an all fodder match like Chester/Tanner/Jay Solano would be amazing --- Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username. |
Chester/Tanner/Jay Solano is the best choice. --- "What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!" This is Yesmar. |
I'm considering no pick for 2nd/3rd but I suspect Sissel's match pic stands out more |
I really want to see Dark Link in a bonus match, so I would have gone with Dark Link/Vincent Valentine/Zero. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Cirno/Marisa/Reimu See which one gets stuffed the most --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
My
theory was that those were the "stuffed votes" Bacon found (which would
probably work out to about 2:1 Tidus) but Banjo getting saddled with so
many near 1% results from Indonesia makes me realize that may have been
misguided. I still find Bacon's reluctance to give actual numbers about anything suspicious, though. Like "we caught 2:1 vote stuffing on Tidus's behalf" could mean the new "anti-bot" measures caught like 15 votes for all we know. It's also suspicious that vote intake at night was so high given the vote totals. It was outdrawing Link's match which had a cumulative vote total well over 1000 ahead at the time. It was outdrawing PW's match by over 100 votes per hour despite having a nearly identical cumulative vote total. Basically it's pretty likely there are stuffed votes out there given evidence, and if you're not totally braindead like Team Touhou you're still probably not going to be caught. Does that mean Tidus wins without them? Not necessarily. But to just accept what Bacon said at face value when he's historically been very bad at giving a damn about this stuff and implementing new site features is naivete I think, especially considering how little details he's given. I wouldn't be surprised if the sophisticated anti-bot technology was just blocking a few extra ip ranges from known proxy servers. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Then00bAvenger posted... Cirno/Marisa/Reimu Oh god, that's a nice idea. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
I'm going for Sissel since I figure Ghost Trick's fanbase would be more devoted here than Dishonored's --- Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username. |
-LusterSoldier- posted... Karma Hunter posted...Banjo having less than 1% of the vote in Indonesia is... well, not really feasible. I would assume the Geolocation stuff is pre-stuffing screening, which also explains s*** like Ghana and Mongolia and the Sudan and what have you. http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66965351/754414232 No, the percentages suggest that Indonesia had 252 votes, and one of the deciding factors in determining that it was 252 and not 126 is that Squall's match in particular only works with 257. In fact, here are the minimums for the last 5 matches--note that this includes Marisa's match, a match with known stuffing. Vivi vs. Marisa vs. Adam: 250 Ganondorf vs. Guybrush vs. Max Payne: 85 Squall vs. Rayman vs. Video: 257 Amaterasu vs. Vyse vs. Adol: 128 Missingno vs. Tidus vs. Banjo: 126 Now, consider the possibility that all three characters just happened to end up with an even number of votes in the last two matches, and a multiple of 3 in Ganondorf's match. Now it becomes: Vivi vs. Marisa vs. Adam: 250 Ganondorf vs. Guybrush vs. Max Payne: 85*3=255 Squall vs. Rayman vs. Video: 257 Amaterasu vs. Vyse vs. Adol: 128*2=256 Missingno vs. Tidus vs. Banjo: 126*2=252 That's pretty damn consistent! --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
-LusterSoldier- posted... LeonhartFour posted...It's hard to get the exact numbers on Squall/Auron since the maps don't show percentages by continent anymore, but Squall had at least 54-55% in Europe. Dear god, I've finally realized the horrible truth. Luster. Is. SKYNET. Somebody kill it, before it kills us. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
WRT
Lightning/DK/Falco, how likely is Falco to drag down DK? DK's
reputation as the eternal choke artist here is bad enough for him, but
add SFF, and... --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
LOLContests posted... Chester/Tanner/Jay Solano is the best choice. voting for this --- Congratulation to SuperNiceDog. Guru Champ and Rivalry Rumble Master |
xp1337 posted... -LusterSoldier- posted...Karma Hunter posted...Banjo having less than 1% of the vote in Indonesia is... well, not really feasible. I would assume the Geolocation stuff is pre-stuffing screening, which also explains s*** like Ghana and Mongolia and the Sudan and what have you. As AxemRedRanger pointed out, Banjo always does that type of thing in Indonesia and the Philippines. Something about the N64 being pretty much ignored over there because most of them were playing pirated games instead of legal ones and it was so much easier to pirate PS1 CDs than N64 cartridges. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Chester/Tanner/Jay Solano is my favorite --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Lilligant posted... I don't know what to make of Corvo vs. Sissel. I would like to think that "generic 'badass' guy with a mask and sword from a modern Western action game" Corvo would be weak enough that "character from super obscure handheld game that has no more than a tiny cult fanbase" Sissel would be able to keep it close. But I'm not sure. If Corvo gets second I'll blame it on the pic. Since Red will be dominating so severely a pic advantage could make a difference. That's surely how Missile beat Kerrigan. Of course, Anime seems to be more powerful than a mask and sword when it comes to pic advantage. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Chester/Tanner/Solano,
please. I'm also okay replacing Tanner/Solano with two other
super-weaklings from this contest, like Caim/Spring Breeze Dancin'. --- T H E S T A B L E - bring on Epona! http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg |
LOLContests posted... Chester/Tanner/Jay Solano is the best choice. Agreed. I bet Tanner would lose. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
TsunamiXXVIII posted... http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66965351/754414232 I assumed the Missingno match had only 126 votes because I assumed Banjo only had one vote in Indonesia and its possible for Banjo to get 0.79% in a match with 126 votes from Indonesia. I admitted that I calculated Squall's match incorrectly. You are right that there were 257 votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
quick, Corvo or Sissel for 2nd |
So I haven't "banked" yet in the Expert, but what is a Corvo and what is a Sissel and who comes where? --- *shrug* |
I've got Corvo with zero confidence. Actually, probably negative confidence. I just figure whoever I pick will lose. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
nintendogirl1 posted... So I haven't "banked" yet in the Expert, but what is a Corvo and what is a Sissel and who comes where? Corvo is from Dishonored, Sissel is from Ghost Trick. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
-LusterSoldier- posted... A match involving 3 characters that surprised us by not getting into the contest - For this match, we could have something like Liquid Snake, Chris Redfield, and Jecht in a match. You could substitute any of those characters for something else if you wanted to. I like this one, maybe adding Diddy Kong and Ken and making it a five-way or replacing 1 or 2 of the others. Another idea is taking 3 of the top 2nd-place finishers from round 1, like Fox, Zack Fair, Scorpion, Garrus, Magikarp, Falcon, Proto Man, etc. --- POKEFEAR |
I was leaning towards Sissel but this board has me scared. I might just no-pick. --- Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords. With what? ROT-13? -CJayC |
From: tennisboy213 | #096 I like this one, maybe adding Diddy Kong and Ken and making it a five-way or replacing 1 or 2 of the others. Add R.O.B. --- Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords. With what? ROT-13? -CJayC |
It'll probably be how are you enjoying this contest or how is your bracket? --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 55/68 Today's Picks: Missingno and Wario |
I am getting antsy about Corvo/Sissel as well. Not sure what to do. |
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