Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1374

Overall GotY poll today:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/9423-

Looks like they went straight for a 4-way poll instead.

Just first place from each poll. RIP FF16.

Imagine if BG3 wins due to LFF and the poll runner just goes "Alright, pack it in"

An impressive performance by Baldur's Gate 3. Even accounting for SMBW, I didn't think BG3 would keep up with TotK.

Uh...did the poll not freeze after 5 minutes?

TotK in trouble.

KamikazePotato posted...

Uh...did the poll not freeze after 5 minutes?

The poll started about a minute and half later than usual. It's been like this for a few months now.

KamikazePotato posted...

Uh...did the poll not freeze after 5 minutes?

Nevermind, there it is.

Strong start from BG3 considering trends.

BG3 starting to run away with it.

Lead change! BG3 won the board vote.

TotK with a big update to retake the lead again.

Regardless of what happens, this is a good case for a 1v1 poll tomorrow because of Mario Wonder here.

If there's no 1v1, I guess we can try to extrapolate through RE4make.

BG3 gained significantly on Pikmin during the night, so I imagine it takes the lead then and probably builds enough of a buffer to hold on for 24 hours.

Wouldn't come close to winning the 1 v 1 though. By the way, is RE4 disappointing or does GameFAQs just not respect remakes that much? FF7 Remake also did poorly despite winning its year.

KamikazePotato posted...

By the way, is RE4 disappointing or does GameFAQs just not respect remakes that much? FF7 Remake also did poorly despite winning its year.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/9234-

Look at how it did here, heh.

Weird. I see nothing but love whenever people talk about it, but it doesn't seem to have had the same impact as the Resident Evil 2 Remake. Its user score on metacritic is also low, although that metric is dubious at best.

In general GameFAQs doesn't respect remakes. But, the RE remakes tend to have solid strength. RE2 Remake even won GotY:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7840-best-of-2019-game-of-the-year-final-vote

Not that Three Houses is a particularly strong opponent.

FFVII Remake also won GotY:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/8328-

LusterSoldier posted...

FFVII Remake also won GotY:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/8328-

This is damning more than anything else. A very well-received revival of our site's #2/#3 game could only get 56% on Ghosts of Tsushima.

I am surprised Mario Wonder is ahead of RE4 for third place here, even with a Zelda game in this poll. Pretty sure no one before today was predicting Mario Wonder to be our third strongest game of the year. If that midyear GotY poll is even somewhat reliable, then FFXVI would be ahead of Mario Wonder for third place in this poll if it didn't get snubbed.

Ngamer posted...

I'm glad we have a ticket in, but I think it will go over better if we could give a full list of 8 snubs to run in a complete "extra games" poll.

So... what are the five biggest misses so far, after FF and Jedi and Hogwarts?

I guess you can throw in Super Mario RPG as another snub as well.

The easiest way to avoid big name snubs is to simply increase the size of each seasonal poll to 10 games (instead of 8).

I definitely expected SMBW to fold harder than this.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6946-best-of-2017-switch

Compared to how Odyssey held up against BotW, Wonder isn't doing bad at all.

BG3 takes back the lead with a strong 5 minutes.

FF16 was screwed and it's a shame to miss SMRPGR making an appearance in yesterday's poll.

BG3 looks legit. Of course, Wonder is LFF'ing LoZ:TotK here, but BG3 is still more than doubling RE4 when FF16 wasn't close to doing that. It's a big year for games, and BG3 takes #2 to a well-received Zelda-game while taking GotY awards with lots of other places -- no shame in that.

Takes #2 unless you think Wonder beats BG3, anyway, but I'm not ready to subscribe to that.

TotK exits the Power Hour trailing by 12. The night will be long.

Wow that was a dramatic Power Hour dropoff.

It's always amazing how the Power Hour really does seem to be pretty close to being exactly an hour.

What percentage would BG3 need to achieve for people consider it over TotK? How much of Mario Wonder goes to Zelda?

50%

Super Mario Wonder
Metroid Dread

Super Mario RPG
Metroid Prime

How's Mario and Metroid holding up underneath Zelda and Smash in recent years? How do recent re-release upgrades help their older hits? And how do those winners collide?

I got the poll update spreadsheet up and running for today poll:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1wL6p2B8hLHdgGQoFzSPXWibg0NjW-FWX1QfKKpj1BHw/pub

If necessary, I also set up a place where the poll updates for the 1v1 poll will go.

TeamRocketElite posted...

50%

Baldur's Gate gets 50.01% against three opponents, still loses 1 v 1 to Zelda

Yeah I could see it

KamikazePotato posted...

What percentage would BG3 need to achieve for people consider it over TotK? How much of Mario Wonder goes to Zelda?

Consider? 42+%. I can see BG3 getting 25+% of what's between RE4 and LFF'd Wonder with their current ~29.5% in the poll. That's enough to at least be close.

As of now, if Mario Wonder splits 75-25 in favor of TotK, BG3 still ekes out a victory. Assuming RE5 splits 50-50 for both.

Time | BG3 | RE4 | SMBW | TOTK
1:00 | 35.67% | 14.27% | 15.21% | 34.86%
2:00 | 40.37% | 17.43% | 12.61% | 29.59%
3:00 | 46.34% | 13.28% | 13.01% | 27.37%

Zelda's getting rolled hard now that we're 2 hours removed from the Power Hour. That last hour is already quite scary for BG3 and shows that it should have no problem blowing past 40% overnight.

Well well well, color me impressed

Pikmin 4 was legit after all

Wonder’s currently doing better than XVI did against TotK by the way. Despite the SFF you would expect.

With the lead at 228 right now, I'd say BG3 has today's poll in the bag. That lead is too high for TotK to overcome with these vote totals.

Still hoping for a 1v1 poll tomorrow to see what the result would be without Wonder involved.

BG3 beating Zelda! amazing, a western rpg is the one challenging and beating zelda while the main Final Fantasy game didn't even make the cut. How times have changed.

abdou posted...

BG3 beating Zelda! amazing, a western rpg is the one challenging and beating zelda while the main Final Fantasy game didn't even make the cut. How times have changed.

I mean I doubt FF16 would've lit up this poll but there's a reason it isn't here lmao

Well XVI never would have made it because it would lose to BG3!

Also yeah Pikmin 4 is definitely this year’s Forgotten Land in terms of strength relative to previous entries. Actually that was a GotY poll snub wasn’t it?

16 wouldn't have won, but it's embarrassing for this site not to include it.

UltimaterializerX posted...

16 wouldn't have won, but it's embarrassing for this site not to include it.

That's my thought too, I know FF16 wouldn't do well against Zelda or BG3 but let it compete, it's a mainline FF game. It's not like the game was trashed, it got a good MC score and sold millions of copies. I am sure FFXII was included in Game of The Year polls back in the day and that game was hated (unfortunately)

XII actually got a 92 Metascore even though the turn against it happened pretty quickly.

I was thinking and the only format where XVI makes it to the final poll is back when it was exclusives for each platform then a separate multiplatform poll. Then TotK would win the Switch poll, BG3 wins the multiplatform poll, XVI wins the Playstation poll, Hi-Fi Rush embarrasses Starfield to win the Xbox poll, Sea of Stars wins Indie and RE4 wins remakes. If it’s platform polls with multiplatform games, BG3 eliminates XVI, if it’s genre polls BG3 eliminates XVI, if it’s sequels/originals/remakes BG3 and TotK eliminate XVI, and with this year’s format or one exclusive poll and one multiplatform poll, TotK eliminates XVI.

With that said, XVI should still be in the polls as it’s a major release with great reviews and top 5 strongest of the year. It was never going to win or do all that well, but it should have been in the polls at least.

So how would we rank the (presumably?) 5 strongest games of the past decade? BotW, Witcher 3, Elden Ring, TotK and BG3.

Edit: Potentially of course Mario Odyssey is in this conversation too

You would need Ultimate in that discussion too then. I would be scared to pick some of those above FFVIIR in a standard contest setting though I would pick them all against it. Some of those games have clearly benefit from titles as Game of the Year and Game of the Decade. Ultimate clearly didn't but still had no trouble getting past what it needed to. I would expect FFVIIR to follow a similar pattern of lacking blowout power but getting the job done.

BotW is first for sure, rest gets harder.

If this is all TotK is worth then that Ganondorf boost speculation from last year is basically dead.

Also, nice to see that Baldur's Gate 3 has inherited Baldur's Gate 2's ridiculously lopsided trends.
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=4115&num=2
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=6089&num=2

I'd take Metroid Dread over FFVIIR before I'd take FFVIIR over any of Witcher 3, Elden Ring, Tears of the Kingdom, or Baldur's Gate 3.

TotK could also be facing the same issue as I just mentioned. These polls have a higher tendency of judging by greatest game for the industry or most game changing, stuff like that. TotK isn't all that, it's a sequel to something that was but that's not the same. Probably beats BG3 easily in a standard contest setting, gets a scare in Game of the Decade.

Yeah I would take FFVIIR over Dread but it would be a lot closer for Dread than FFVIIR would get against any of those big dogs. FFVIIR looked like a “normal” GotY winner not an all timer, and that about goes with the general reception. All of the rest of those are all-timers.

I wouldn’t even take FFVIIR over Persona 5 at this point!

If only there were a way we could find out